GetVerdict
Methodology

What each number means.

GetVerdict compares a property with registered Dubai sales and rental contracts. This page explains the matching order, calculations, and limits in plain language.

Read the Q2 2026 registered-sales report
  1. Headline communityDubai Marina
  2. Official DLD areaMarsa Dubai
  3. ProjectMarina Gate
  4. Tower or buildingMarina Gate II
Primary sourceDubai Land Departmentpublic registered records
Registered records1,810,104published transaction records
DLD areas359distinct source-area names
Sales through03 Sept 2026latest available sale date
01

What the evidence includes

Price evidence comes from completed sales registered with the Dubai Land Department. Rental evidence comes from registered rental contracts. Portal advertisements and active listing prices are not used unless a user enters an asking price to compare.

  • Included: valid resale and off-plan sales with a recorded price, size, and registration date.
  • Excluded from price evidence: mortgages, gifts, and records without a usable price or size.
  • Kept separate where possible: resale and off-plan markets, because they can price differently.
  • Service-charge budgets: DLD's approved component records are used only when a project or reviewed building match and an area-based component basis are verified. They are historical budget data, not a live invoice or a current-rate feed.
  • Freshness: the “Sales through” date above is the newest registered sale currently available to GetVerdict.
02

How places are connected

Dubai property records and the names people use in the market do not always line up one-to-one. GetVerdict keeps the levels separate so a familiar place name is not confused with an official DLD area.

Headline communityDubai MarinaOne of seven curated market groupings used in the homepage overview. Each combines relevant DLD areas for a high-level market view.
Public areaDAMAC IslandsThe familiar area name brokers and buyers use in search and filters. This is the Area shown on GetVerdict.
Official areaAl Yelayiss 1The legal area name attached to the DLD record. It can differ from the public area name used in the market.
ProjectMarina GateThe wider development. A project can contain more than one tower or building.
Tower or buildingMarina Gate IIThe specific physical building. This is the strongest location match when it is available.
Unit2 bedroom · 1,204 sq ftThe individual property, described by its type, bedrooms, and registered size.

The hierarchy is not complete on every record. Some sales identify only an official area and project; others also identify the building. GetVerdict uses official identifiers first, then reviewed name matching for known spelling differences. If a building cannot be linked confidently, it stays unmatched and the report widens to project or area evidence. The seven headline communities are for overview trends; the Area filter contains the broader set of public property areas.

Official unit registry evidence

Some reports also show an official unit-registry profile. It is available only when DLD's unit identifier can be connected through an official project or building record to the report's reliable matched project or building. Building evidence is used first; a uniquely connected project profile is the fallback.

This is a registry aggregate for the matched unit type, not proof of the selected sale's exact floor, parking, balcony, view, or condition. When that official route is not available, the registry section is omitted rather than guessed.

03

How nearby places are found

A metro station, mall, or landmark is called nearest only when GetVerdict has a verified coordinate for the project or building and a sourced coordinate for the place. Distance is calculated from those two points. The building is used first; the wider project is used only when a building location is unavailable.

  • Coordinate source: GetVerdict imports a cached Dubai extract from OpenStreetMap, retaining the original place link, retrieval date, and ODbL licence attribution.
  • Automatic matching: a project or building coordinate is accepted automatically only when its normalized name identifies one DLD entity and one source location. Names with more than one possible location are held for review.
  • Exact nearby place: calculated from verified building or project coordinates and shown with its distance.
  • Area context: a useful place associated with the wider area. It helps describe the location but is not claimed to be the closest place to every property in that area.
  • Source record: when the individual DLD sale already names a nearby place, that source value remains visible and is not overwritten.
  • When coordinates are missing: GetVerdict may use a consistent nearby-place value found across DLD records for the same building or project. It is shown as area context without an exact distance. If that evidence is also unavailable, the field stays blank.

Every coordinate-backed result keeps its source and calculation date so it can be refreshed when a building location or public transport network changes. The three closest candidates of each type are retained for audit, while the nearest one is displayed. Future stations are labelled as future context and are never presented as active infrastructure. Map data is © OpenStreetMap contributors and available under the ODbL.

04

How similar sales are selected

Similar sales are completed transactions chosen to resemble the subject property as closely as the available records allow. The search widens only when the stronger level does not provide enough evidence.

1

Same tower or building

Same building, same property type and bedrooms, with size as close as possible.

2

Same project

Same development and similar unit characteristics when tower-level sales are limited.

3

Same official area or community

Local market evidence used only when the project does not provide a reliable sample.

4

Wider fallback

Broader evidence for unusual or sparse properties, clearly labelled so it is not mistaken for tower-level support.

Candidates normally come from the last 365 days. A result needs at least six usable sales. More recent transactions, closer sizes, matching bedrooms, and stronger location matches receive more weight.

05

How fair price is calculated

Estimated fair price per m² or sq ft

Calculation: The weighted middle price per unit of area across the selected similar sales.

Using the middle rather than a simple average reduces the influence of one unusually cheap or expensive transaction.

Estimated fair sale price

Calculation: Estimated fair price per m² × the subject property’s registered size.

This converts the local unit-price evidence into an estimated total price for the property being checked.

Fair range

Calculation: The midpoint is widened using the observed spread of the selected sales.

Consistent sales create a tighter range. Sparse or varied evidence creates a wider range, bounded to avoid false precision.

Above or below the estimate

Calculation: (Recorded or asking price − estimated fair price) ÷ estimated fair price.

A positive result is above the estimate; a negative result is below it.

Recency uses an 18-month half-life: older sales still contribute, but recent transactions carry more influence. GetVerdict does not use an LLM or a predicted portal asking price to create the estimate.

06

Terms explained

Similar sales

Calculation: Registered sales selected using the building → project → area matching order above.

These are the transactions supporting the price estimate.

Liquidity · 90 days

Calculation: Number of registered sales in the relevant project or market scope during the last 90 days.

Higher liquidity means more recent market activity. It does not guarantee that a specific unit will sell quickly.

Price trend · 12 months

Calculation: Monthly price per m² across the latest 12 complete months.

Shows the direction and shape of recent registered pricing.

Momentum · 3 months

Calculation: Average price per m² in the latest three months compared with the previous three months.

Shows whether recent pricing is accelerating, flat, or cooling.

Year-on-year change

Calculation: Current monthly price per m² compared with the same month one year earlier.

Useful for annual context, but slower to show a recent change in direction.

Sales volume change

Calculation: Number of sales in the latest three months compared with the previous three months.

Shows whether market activity is growing or shrinking.

Rental evidence

Calculation: Registered rental contracts matched at the strongest reliable building, project, or area level.

Shows the observed annual-rent range and sample behind the rental estimate.

Gross rental yield

Calculation: Estimated annual rent ÷ property price.

An indicative gross return before service charges, maintenance, vacancy, financing, and other ownership costs.

Yield after service charge

Calculation: (Estimated annual rent − estimated annual service charge) ÷ property price.

A narrower ownership view, shown only when compatible DLD service-charge components and a matched entity are verified. It is not net yield: arrears, vacancy, financing, repairs, insurance, taxes, and other costs are outside the calculation.

Estimated service charge

Calculation: Verified approved common-service rate × registered unit area.

The displayed amount is labelled “estimated using registered unit area”. A transaction procedure area may be the only available proxy, so it is not presented as an exact title-deed invoice or a current rate.

Percentile placement

Calculation: Share of selected similar sales priced at or below the subject’s price per m².

P78 means the subject is more expensive per m² than 78% of the selected sales.

Area-level price and rental movements can also be explored on Trends.

07

Evidence quality

Evidence quality describes how closely the selected sales match the subject and how stable the resulting price range is. It is not an AI confidence score.

High

Enough recent same-building or same-project sales with a consistent price pattern.

Medium

Useful local evidence, but the report needed project-plus-area support or a smaller sample.

Low

Sparse, broad, old, or inconsistent evidence. Use the result for orientation rather than a price target.

The report shows the number of selected sales, how many came from the same building or project, the latest sale date, and why the search widened. Those facts are more useful than a standalone score.

08

Broker and AI access

GetVerdict is preparing a versioned, permission-controlled API so brokers can use the same registered evidence, reviewed property facts, and deterministic scenario calculations in their own systems. The native GetVerdict assistant will use that same contract before external connections are released.

  • One calculation source: the website, PDF, native assistant, and future API will read the same pinned report version rather than calculate separate answers.
  • ChatGPT and Claude: planned connections will use allowlisted read-only tools or a pinned evidence package. They will not receive database access or arbitrary SQL.
  • Permission-aware: broker-private documents and notes stay out of client and public contexts. Access will be scoped, revocable, and audited.
  • Traceable answers: material figures will retain registered-record, approved-document, assumption, formula, and methodology references.
  • AI explains; code calculates: scenario values, yields, cash flows, break-even prices, and annualized returns come from versioned deterministic functions, not model arithmetic.

These integrations are planned and are not yet a public API. GetVerdict will publish connection instructions, scopes, and availability here when broker access is released.

09

Limits of the result

  • Condition, renovation, floor, and view are not consistently present in registered sales, so the estimate cannot reliably adjust for them.
  • Active listings are not market evidence. GetVerdict does not scrape property portals. A user-entered asking price is used only as the subject being checked.
  • Unique properties are difficult to compare. Trophy homes, penthouses, and bespoke villas can produce sparse evidence and a wide range.
  • Off-plan and resale can differ. They are kept separate where possible; any fallback that mixes them is disclosed in the result.
  • Currency conversions are indicative. AED is the source currency. Other currencies use a recent reference rate and exclude bank spreads.
  • Square feet are converted. Registered size is stored in square metres; sq ft is calculated as m² × 10.7639.
  • Service charges can be unavailable. DLD budget records are component-level and do not state one universal unit basis. GetVerdict preserves every component and shows no annual estimate unless a documented, reviewed area-based basis and a conservative entity match are available.
  • This is not a regulated valuation. A GetVerdict report is an independent price opinion, not a bank or RICS appraisal.
10

Frequently asked

Why does the report sometimes use area evidence?+
The selected building or project did not provide enough reliable recent sales. The report widens to the official area or community and labels that fallback rather than presenting it as tower-level evidence.
Why can a project exist without tower-level results?+
A registered sale may contain the project name but no reliable building identifier. It can support project-level analysis, but it should not be claimed as a same-tower sale.
Why can the newest sale date lag behind today?+
The latest available record depends on when the public source publishes and when GetVerdict completes its next successful import. The “Sales through” date is the date to trust.
Can I verify the result?+
Yes. The verdict shows the selected similar sales, their dates, locations, sizes, prices, and matching scope. The estimate changes when the evidence or subject details change.
What happens when evidence is insufficient?+
The report widens through the matching hierarchy. If it still cannot find at least six reliable sales, it states that the evidence is insufficient instead of inventing a precise estimate.
Why is a service-charge estimate not available for every property?+
The official source is a historic, component-level budget. Some components have no verified area basis, and a property group is not automatically a building. We only estimate when both the component basis and the project or reviewed building match are safe; otherwise the report says “Not available”.
Reading place evidence

Why some places have an evidence page and others do not

Not every name in a property record has its own page. GetVerdict publishes a community, project, or building page only when it can connect the place to the right part of the record and has enough registered sales to give useful context. If either is unclear, it leaves the page out rather than filling the gap with a nearby or similarly named place.

Attribution

Sourced from Dubai Land Department public records. GetVerdict is an independent opinion service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or representing the Dubai Land Department.

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